by Rodrigue Tremblay
Wednesday, August 13, 2008
“War prosperity is like the prosperity that an earthquake or a plague brings.” — Ludwig von Mises (1881-1973)
“War…is harmful, not only to the conquered but to the conqueror.” — Ludwig von Mises (1881-1973)
“To defeat the aggressors is not enough to make peace durable. The main thing is to discard the ideology that generates war.” — Ludwig von Mises (1881-1973)
“The root of the evil is not the construction of new, more dreadful weapons. It is the spirit of conquest.” — Ludwig von Mises (1881-1973)
There are people in charge who think that provocation and aggression can be acceptable government policy. The sudden conflict between the former Soviet province of Georgia and Russia in the Caucasus in Eurasia is a good case in point.
What’s behind this conflict that erupted last Friday at the outset of the Beijing Olympic Games? First and foremost, let us keep in mind that the real and first aggressors in this conflict is the belligerent government of Georgia, led by an impulsive politician named Mikhail Saakashvili, who is openly supported by the governments of the U.S. and of Israel. Early Friday, August 8, Georgian tanks and infantry, assisted by American and Israeli military advisers, launched an early morning massive artillery and rocket barrage on the capital of breakaway South Ossetia, Tskhinvali, thus directly provoking Russia, which had soldiers in that province.
At first blush, most people could easily arrive at the conclusion that Saakashvili is completely out of his mind for having declared war against its neighbor Russia, a country more than 50 times larger, with the goal of reoccupying the Russian-speaking province of South Ossetia, de facto independent since 1992. The only logical explanation would seem to be that the Georgia President believed, or had some form of assurance, that the Bush-Cheney administration would side militarily with him. Did he really believe that the Bush-Cheney administration, already deeply involved in two military conflicts in Iraq and in Afghanistan, would risk a world war to salvage an oil pipeline and a newly acquired colony in that far away part of the world? This would seem to be another insane idea.
It is a little known fact that the U.S. and Israel have been training and arming the Georgian military since 2002. This situation is tantamount to risking a restart of the Cold War with Russia. It has also sown the seeds of a much larger conflict in that part of the world by encouraging Georgia to embark on military manoeuvres. Little Georgia (4.5 m. inhabitants) even has 2,000 troops in Iraq, soldiers that the U.S. is now quickly flying back to Georgia. This goes a long way towards explaining how involved the Bush-Cheney administration and its Israeli surrogates have been in sticking it in the eyes of Russia. And now, the Russian bear is reacting. This is brinkmanship at a high level.
In the summer of 1914, a similar miscalculation resulted in igniting World War I.
This was a conflict that started with a single death (the assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand on June 28, 1914) but which resulted, in the end, in 40 million deaths. The catastrophe was the result of a chain reaction of war declarations by various countries involved in the affairs of other countries. This remains an example of how relatively minor regional conflicts can escalate into conflagrations when hotheads are in command.
The Georgia-Russia spat represents a good opportunity for the U.N. Secretary-General, Mr. Ban Ki-moon, show leadership and not to let things degenerate. Indeed, there is always the possibility that one politician after another will try not to lose face by escalating things. For example, the U.N Secretary-General should obtain from the Security Council the mandate to visit immediately the two capitals directly involved, and he should attempt to broker an immediate face-saving end to the hostilities. He should persuade the Russian leaders not to overreact to the Georgian President’s provocations. As for the latter, he has demonstrated that he is not worthy of occupying his functions.
Time is of the essence in such circumstances, because there are always some interests that stand to profit from a worsening situation.
For one, the presumptive Republican presidential candidate John McCain, who never met a war he didn’t like, has already tried to stoke the fire of conflict by calling for the 26-country NATO to get involved in what is essentially a local ethnic conflict. On the campaign trail, John McCain said: “We should immediately call a meeting of the North Atlantic Council to assess Georgia’s security and review measures NATO can take to contribute to stabilizing this very dangerous situation.”
Incredibly, the republican candidate is attempting to profit politically from this faraway crisis by advancing the frightening prospect of turning a small regional conflict into a world war. This could have something to do with the fact that Mr. McCain’smainforeign policy adviser is a former lobbyist for the government of Georgia and is a former neocon lobbyist for the U.S. military invasion of Iraq. This would seem to be a direct conflict of interests and reason enough for Mr. McCain to refrain from throwing oil on the fire.
I have said it before, and this incident confirms it; this man would seem to be unfit to be in charge of a heavily armed country.
Rodrigue Tremblay is professor emeritus of economics at the University of Montreal and can be reached at rodrigue.tremblay@yahoo.com
He is the author of the book ‘The New American Empire’
Visit his blog site at: www.thenewamericanempire.com/blog.
Author’s Website: www.thenewamericanempire.com/
Check Dr. Tremblay’s coming book “The Code for Global Ethics” at: www.TheCodeForGlobalEthics.com/
see
Candidate McCain: A Risky Choice by Prof. Rodrigue Tremblay
Russia-Georgia war could become nuclear!!
Georgian troops fire at refugees + burying their dead
Georgia’s aggression on South Ossetia is ethnic cleansing + Media briefing of Russia’s General Staff
From Stupid to Moronic to Evil By Paul Craig Roberts
Bush’s War in Georgia; Will it be the Flyswatter or the Blunderbuss? by Mike Whitney
War in the Caucasus: Towards a Broader Russia-US Military Confrontation?
Georgia vs. South Ossetia: a story of genocide + See the ugly face of war
American says US & Georgia to answer for violence
Russia’s Defence ministry spokesman press-conference
A Dirty Adventure – Parts 1 & 2 by Richard Estes
also:
How the BBC is deliberately distorting the News from the Georgia Region h/t: InI
Israel and the US behind the Georgian aggression? By Shraga Elam h/t: InI
‘Bodies Are Lying Everywhere. It’s Hell’ h/t: ICH
The Pipeline War: Russian bear goes for West’s jugular h/t: ICH
War between Russia and Georgia orchestrated from USA h/t: ICH
Pingback: Civilians bear the brunt in Gori + Riz Khan: The South Ossetian conflict | Dandelion Salad
Pingback: The Failed Presidency of George W. Bush: A Dismal Legacy, Part II by Prof. Rodrigue Tremblay « Dandelion Salad
Pingback: Why Not Simply Abolish NATO? by Rodrigue Tremblay « Dandelion Salad
Pingback: Russian envoy to NATO speaks out + Justin Raimondo on Russia Today « Dandelion Salad
Pingback: Background on Georgia by Bruce Gagnon « Dandelion Salad
Pingback: A Path to Peace in the Caucasus By Mikhail Gorbachev « Dandelion Salad
Pingback: The Reality Behind Western Propaganda Regarding War In Georgia « Dandelion Salad
Pingback: Medvedev orders end to military operation + Roadmap for Georgian peace « Dandelion Salad
Pingback: The Caucasus —Washington Risks nuclear war by miscalculation « Dandelion Salad
Pingback: RNN: Who’s to blame for the Russian Georgian conflict? « Dandelion Salad
Pingback: 08/08/08: The Beginning of the Summer Olympics and the Third World War « Dandelion Salad
Pingback: https://dandelionsalad.wordpress.com/2008/08/12/mccain-obama-react-to-caucasus-crisis-cnn-caught-using-wrong-footage/