Eric Margolis: It’s like August, 1914 – a movement of great powers towards war
see
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I would add an important correction re. the Cuban missile crisis: what really caused it was that Kennedy had previously placed US nukes in Turkey, and what resolved the crisis was that he took those missiles away.
Probably the only chance for peace now is for the Russians to play the same trick, but putting a base in Cuba.
Only Bush is no Kennedy at the best of times, and he’s obviously hitting the bottle hard now, because even he knows how dangerous the world situation has become, largely because of him. Kennedy knew he had to back down and Kruschev made it easy for him (and paid a heavy political price at home, but he was man enough to do that). Putin would do the same for Bush – he would give Bush an easy way out and would be willing, I suspect, to pay the political price at home. But Bush….let’s just say that he is to the US what Brown was to Fema.
I call it Fin de Siecle thinking. Everyone is in a nostalgic haze. One might ask, how can anyone possibly be nostalgic for the Cold War?
Simple. Because they fear the future. People fear the future more than anything, when they feel powerless in the present, and more and more people feel powerless.
So the situation is just like before WW1, in my opinion. Included in this is a total lack of understanding of consequences of the weaponry involved. They all had weaponry so powerful, and methodology so brilliant, that they were convinced that the enemy would be defeated in a week. As always happens when people contemplate wars, they forget about the other side.
Right now, I guarantee you that the US is offloading an army in Georgia. Meanwhile a battle fleet is heading to the Gulf of Arabia.
JCOS Mullen said he didn’t want three fronts. He’s about to get four.
And while our military is nearly invulnerable, because of our massive air power and because of depleted uranium, “nearly” can be a very, very ugly word in the middle of a World War. Unless George Bush comes to his senses, we will be fighting the Russians in two places within weeks and the Russians have a few tricks up their sleeves too, such as tactical nukes and anti-ship missiles, not to mention far more effective anti-air systems than we’ve seen so far. In other words, we are looking at potentially the bloodiest and most destructive military struggle the world has ever seen.
Why? Because of Fin de Siecle thinking. We fear the future so much that we are willing to try the impossible: living in the past.
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