By Timothy V. Gatto
Let me start this article with a supposition. How long do you think it would take Russia to conquer Georgia if that were their intent? I believe that if the war started at say midnight, than the next midnight, Georgia would cease to exist. They might last a little longer if it was a spur of the moment decision, but if Russia was earnestly trying to take over little Georgia, it would have already been a done deal.
Now for all of you Americans that get your news from the American media, you don’t have a clue to what’s really going on. I’ve decided to tell you what I know from what people on the ground are writing. Before you get into that though, let me say that the Bushmaster and his little statement that he will not allow the Georgians to be defeated, is a little like the Captain of the Titanic saying he won’t let his ship go down. He doesn’t have a chance in hell of altering the circumstances. Especially when NATO doesn’t want to get involved and we are fighting a two-front war in the Middle-East.
From what I’ve read, from those that know a great deal more than I do about the situation in Georgia, is that the Bush Administration, along with the nation of Israel has been selling weapons and sending thousands of military advisors to Georgia for the last few years. Georgia has spent, or has been given credits of over 3 Billion dollars to bolster its military.
On the other hand, the Russians have been acting as peacekeepers in the two regions that have been virtually autonomous of Georgia to keep the Georgians out. These provinces’ of Abkhazian and South Ossetia are Russian speaking provinces. It’s true that Russia gave them Russian passports, but that was a matter of convenience for people, as their relations with Georgia were practically non-existent.
I happen to side with the Russians so far. They have shown a great deal of restraint in not invading Georgia proper. That’s all subject to change. Meanwhile, America has no business arming Russian Border States. That’s the long and short of it.
firstname.lastname@example.org – http://liberalpro.blogspot.com
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The USA is continuously pushing for a “missile Defense System” in Russia’s backyard. Is that what missiles are…they are for Defense?
So in 1962 I guess all the Soviet Union needed to do was say they wanted missiles in Cuba as a Defense System. Then there would be no big deal. LOL Riiight.
The oil pipeline from the Caspian Sea to the Mediterranean Sea run right through Georgia, it borders Russia and its just north of Iran. Russia is not known for their deep concern for humanitarian treatment of the former Soviet states and the Bush administration is more concerned with causing suffering then stopping it. So forgive me if I doubt the good willed intentions of both of them if there just happens to be a big tube of black gold in the middle of the action.
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I don’t agree that the US has no leverage in Georgia. I think that Bush is, as we speak, unloading an army in Georgia (humanitarian mission my ***). And I think it’s a big mistake to underestimate the total supremacy of US forces in conventional warfare. A relatively small US force could decimate anything Russia threw at it. But, of course, as we’ve seen over and over again, military superiority is not necessarily the same as strategic superiority. IF all this comes to pass as I expect, the Russians will simply withdraw and leave the US to fight a third war of attrition against unconventional forces.