compiled by Cem Ertür
6 December 2008
excerpts from ‘Israel willing to go it alone on Iran attack‘
by Tim Butcher, Daily Telegraph, 5 December 2008
Israel is drawing up plans for an attack on Iran’s nuclear infrastructure that does not require America’s support, it has been claimed.
Israeli officials have said it would be difficult, but not impossible, to launch a strike against Iran without clear support from America.
One option would be to use Israeli submarines firing cruise missiles from off the Iranian coast in the Gulf.
Another might be to use Israel’s close links with Turkey to persuade Ankara to allow Israeli attack aircraft, air refuelling jets and pilot rescue helicopters to use Turkish airstrips.
IDF preparing options for Iran strike
by Jaakov Katz, Jerusalem Post, 4 December 2008
from the archives:
excerpts from ‘Meeting the challenge: US policy toward Iranian nuclear development‘
by Senators Daniel Coats and Charles Robb, et al., Bipartisan Policy Center, September 2008
A deterrence strategy against Iran must also include enhanced access to military facilities in countries East, West, and North of Iran. This involves diplomacy with Georgia, Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Turkey, and possibly Pakistan to gain their approval to host the U.S. forces and support staff needed for military action. The United States has had access to some facilities in these countries for operations in Afghanistan, but Russian pressure has introduced interruptions and uncertainty in U.S. access; Uzbekistan cut of U.S. access to its air base in 2004. Pakistan is highly sensitive to any U.S. presence and is unlikely cooperate with the United States against Iran. Azerbaijanad the United States cooperate in Caspian Sea security, and Azerbaijan appears the most likely anchor of a northern containment strategy for Iran. Turkey is a NATO ally, but its leadership is unreliable, and its cooperation with Iran on energy projects and other issues will dissuade Ankara’s participation in U.S. military strategy against Iran. The bjctive would be to enable U.S. military as broad access as possible to Iran from all directions.
Israeli bombers cannot traverse Saudi Arabia, the Persian Gulf, and Iraq without detection and, perhaps, engagement. It is possible that Turkey would allow Israeli fighters to traverse its airspace, but because all of the fighters would need to enter Iran from the same direction, the pilots would be exposed. Regardless of how Israel might try to strike, it is likely that Iranian air defense will know that the Israelis are on their way before they reach Iranian airspace.